He paku ngoikore te Rārangi o te Tonga o Haina
Ko te whakarōpūtanga e pā ana ki te piki me te heke
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, he rerekē te mākete matū o te motu, ā, i heke te nuinga i tērā wiki. I roto i ngā hua e 20 i aroturukitia e Canton Trading, e ono i piki ake, e ono i heke iho, ā, e whitu i noho papatahi tonu.
Mai i te tirohanga a te mākete o te ao, i tēnei wiki, kua paku piki ake te mākete hinu mata o te ao. I roto i te wiki, ka whakaitihia e Rūhia te whakaputanga mai i Poutū-te-rangi hei whakautu i ngā whiu a te Hauāuru, ā, e tohu ana a OPEC+ kāore e whakapiki ake i te whakaputanga o ngā āhuatanga pai pēnei i te pikinga o te whakaputanga me te OPEC i roto i te pūrongo hou. Kua piki ake te mākete hinu mata o te ao whānui. I te 17 o Pēpuere, ko te utu whakataunga o te kirimana matua o ngā hinu mata WTI ā-mua i te United States he US $ 76.34/peera, he hekenga o te $ 1.72/peera mai i te wiki o mua. Ko te utu whakataunga o te kirimana matua o ngā hinu mata Brent ā-mua he $ 83/peera, he hekenga o te $ 1.5/peera mai i te wiki o mua.
Mai i te tirohanga a te mākete ā-rohe, ahakoa he kaha te mahi a te mākete hinu mata o te ao i tēnei wiki, he iti noa te pikinga o ngā tumanakohanga mō te hinu mata o te mākete, ā, kāore i te rawaka te tautoko mō te mākete matū. Nō reira, kua paku heke te mākete whānui o ngā hua matū ā-rohe. Hei tāpiri, kāore i te rawaka te tipu o te tono mō ngā hua matū i raro iho, ā, kāore te whakaoranga o ētahi tono i raro iho i te pai e ai ki te tumanako, nā reira ka tōia te ia whānui o te mākete ki te whai i te tere o te mākete hinu mata o te ao. E ai ki ngā raraunga a Guanghua Trading Monitor, kua paku piki te Tāurangi Utu Hua Matū o Haina ki te Tonga i tēnei wiki, ā, i te Paraire, ko te Tāurangi Utu Hua Matū o Haina ki te Tonga (e kiia nei ko "Tāurangi Matū o Haina ki te Tonga") i tū ki te 1,120.36 ngā tohu, he heke iho i te 0.09% mai i te tīmatanga o te wiki me te 0.47% mai i te 10 o Pēpuere (Paraire). I roto i ngā tāurangi iti e 20, e 6 ngā tāurangi o ngā mea kakara whakauru, te methanol, te toluene, te propylene, te styrene me te ethylene glycol i piki ake. E ono ngā taupū o te hauwai konutai, te PP, te PE, te xylene, te BOPP me te TDI i heke, ko ētahi i noho pumau.
Pikitia 1: Ko ngā raraunga tohutoro o te South China Chemical Index (Pūtake: 1000) i te wiki kua taha ake nei, ko te utu tohutoro ko te tuku a te kaihokohoko.
Pikitia 2: Ngā Auahatanga o te Tāurangi o te Tonga o Haina i waenganui i a Hanuere 2021 me Hanuere 2023 (Pūtake: 1000)
Wāhanga o te ia o te mākete taupū whakarōpūtanga
1. Mētanora
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, i ngoikore te mākete methanol whānui. Nā te hekenga o te mākete waro, i ngoikore te tautoko utu mutunga. I tua atu, i puhoi te ora o te tono tuku iho mō te methanol, ā, i tīmata te wāhanga olefin nui rawa atu ki te mahi i te taumata iti. Nō reira, i ngoikore tonu te mākete whānui.
I te ahiahi o te 17 o Pēpuere, i kati te taupū utu mākete methanol i te Tonga o Haina ki te 1159.93 ngā tohu, he pikinga 1.15% mai i te tīmatanga o te wiki, ā, he hekenga 0.94% mai i te Paraire whakamutunga.
2. Hauwai konutai
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, i haere tonu te ngoikore o te mākete konutai hauwai ā-rohe. I te wiki kua taha ake nei, he iti te rahinga o te mākete whānui, ā, he āta whakaaro te mākete. I tēnei wā, he iti iho te whakaoranga o te tono i muri mai i te mea i tumanakohia, kei te mau tonu te nuinga o te mākete me hoko noa iho. Heoi anō, he teitei te pēhanga o ngā taonga o te mākete chlor-alkali, he kaha te āhuarangi heke o te mākete, hei tāpiri, he ngoikore te mākete kaweake, ā, kua tahuri ki ngā hoko ā-rohe, ka piki ake te tuku o te mākete, nō reira, he kino ēnei i roto i te mākete konutai hauwai ki raro.
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, i haere tonu te hekenga o te mākete hauwai konutai o roto. Nā te mea kei te mau tonu te nuinga o ngā umanga i ngā mahi noa, engari ko te tono o raro iho i mau tonu te tono, ā, kāore i te rawaka te ota kaweake, ka nui haere te pouri o te mākete, ā, ka heke te mākete hauwai konutai o roto i te wiki kua taha ake nei.
I te 17 o Pēpuere, i kati te taupū utu mō te hauwai konutai i te Tonga o Haina ki te 1,478.12 ngā tohu, he hekenga 2.92% mai i te tīmatanga o te wiki me te 5.2% mai i te Paraire.
3. Etirene glycol
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, kua mutu te pikinga o te mākete hinu mata o te motu. Kua piki ake te mākete hinu mata o te ao whānui, ā, kua kaha ake te tautoko utu. Whai muri i te hekenga o te mākete hinu mata i ngā wiki tuatahi e rua, kua tīmata te hekenga o te mākete. Ina koa, ka whakawhitihia ētahi taputapu hinu mata ki ētahi atu hua pai ake, kua pai ake te hinengaro o te mākete, ā, kua tīmata te piki ake o ngā āhuatanga o te mākete whānui. Heoi, he iti iho te tere mahi o raro i ngā tau o mua, ā, kua piki ake te mākete hinu mata.
I te 17 o Pēpuere, kua kati te taupū utu i te Tonga o Haina ki te 685.71 ngā tohu, he pikinga 1.2% mai i te tīmatanga o te wiki, me te 0.6% mai i te Paraire whakamutunga.
4. Styrene
I te wiki kua taha ake nei, i iti te mākete styrene ā-rohe, ā, i muri mai ka hoki anō ki te taumata teitei. I roto i te wiki, kua piki ake te mākete hinu mata o te ao, kua tautokona te utu, ā, kua hoki anō te mākete styrene i ngā wiki mutunga. Ina koa, i pai ake ngā tukunga tauranga, ā, i tumanakohia te whakahekenga e tumanakohia ana mō te tukunga tauranga. I tua atu, i piki ake te pai o ētahi o ngā mahi tiaki me ētahi atu mahi a ngā kaihanga. Heoi, kei te nui tonu te pēhanga o ngā taonga tauranga, kāore te whakaoranga o te tono o raro i te pai e ai ki te tumanako, ā, kua pehia te korenga o te mākete wāhi.
I te 17 o Pēpuere, i kati te taupū utu mō te styrene i te rohe o te Tonga o Haina ki te 968.17 ngā tohu, he pikinga 1.2% mai i te tīmatanga o te wiki, he pumau mai i te Paraire whakamutunga.
Tātaritanga mākete ā muri ake nei
Kei te whai hua tonu te āhua whenua kore pumau ki te pikinga o te hinu mata o te ao. Whakakorehia te ia o te utu hinu o te ao i tēnei wiki. Mai i te tirohanga ā-rohe, he rawaka te tuku katoa o te mākete, ā, he ngoikore te tono mō ngā hua matū i raro iho. E matapaetia ana ko te mākete matū ā-rohe, ko te whakahaere rānei i tēnei wiki, ko te nuinga o te wā ka ahu mai i.
1. Mētanora
Kāore he kaihanga tiaki hou i tēnei wiki, ā, nā te whakaoranga o ētahi taputapu tiaki tuatahi, e matapaetia ana ka rawaka te tuku o te mākete. Mō te tono, he iti te mahi a te taputapu olefin matua, ā, tera pea ka piki ake ngā hiahia tuku iho a ngā kaiwhakamahi, engari he puhoi tonu te tere tipu o te tono mākete whānui. Hei whakarāpopototanga, mēnā he iti te utu me te iti o te whakapainga mata taketake, e matapaetia ana ka mau tonu te mākete methanol i tētahi ia ohorere.
2. Hauwai konutai
Mō te wai houra tunutunu, he rawaka te tuku o te mākete whānui, engari he ngoikore tonu te tono i te taha whakararo. I tēnei wā, he nui tonu te pēhanga o ngā rawa o te wāhi whakaputa matua. I taua wā anō, kei te heke tonu te utu hoko i te taha whakararo. E matapaetia ana kei te heke tonu te mākete wai houra tunutunu.
Mō ngā kongakonga houra tunutunu, nā te ngoikore o te tono i raro iho, he maha ngā utu o te mākete. Ina koa, he uaua ki te whakapai ake i te tono nui mō te alumina i raro iho, ā, kāore i te rawaka te tautoko a te mākete kore-konumohe i raro iho, e matapaetia ana ka heke tonu te mākete kongakonga houra tunutunu.
3. Etirene glycol
E matapaetia ana ko te mākete ethylene glycol te mea nui rawa atu. Nā te mea kua tukuna he hua mō te taputapu 800,000 tana o te Hainan Refinery, he nui te tuku o te mākete, ā, kei te wātea tonu te tere mahi polyester i raro iho. Heoi, kāore anō kia mārama te tere o te tipu i ngā wā o muri mai, ka noho tonu ngā āhuatanga o te mākete glycol i ngā ohorere paku.
4. Styrene
Kua iti te pikinga ake o te mākete styrene i te wiki e tū mai nei. Ahakoa ka whakatairangahia te mākete e te whakatikatika me te whakaoranga o te tono o te wheketere styrene, e matapaetia ana ka ngoikore te ia o te mākete hinu mata o te ao i te wiki e tū mai nei, ā, tera pea ka pāngia te hinengaro o te mākete, ka aukati i te pikinga o te utu o te mākete.
Wā tuku: Maehe-01-2023